Right, this right here is what I’m talking about. Herman Van Rompuy has not made particularly positive comments about Catalonia remaining in the EU should it be independent. Whilst the SNP claimed that he was talking about Catalonia, not Scotland, Van Rompuy’s words are abstract enough to apply to either. The thing about people with power is that it has hard to make them do what they don’t want. And I think there are many people in power that don’t want Scotland to be independent. Spain seems to be intent on quashing its own nationalist movements, and will want to avoid Scotland setting a precedent for an independent country staying in the EU.
In light of this, Salmond’s plea to the UK government to talk to Brussels on Scotland’s behalf comes off as moderately naive. As it stands, I don’t see Scotland staying in the EU post-independence as particularly likely.